easy   Probability

Ship Stops

A release-checked easy problem for training Expected Value.

Question

You are sailing from one island to another. Uninterrupted travel between the two islands takes $12$ minutes. However, there are $5$ wave checks between the islands. Four of the wave checks will stop you with $25\%$ probability each. These wave checks will add $1$ minute to your total travel time if you are stopped. However, the last wave check stops you with $75\%$ probability. This wave check will add $4$ minutes to your travel time if you are stopped. Find the expected duration (in minutes) of the trip between the two islands.

Practice focus

This Probability problem is tagged Expected Value. State the random variables and conditioning information explicitly, then check the result against boundary cases before opening hints or a solution.

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